Wall Street Extends Rally to Record Highs, But Caution Lingers

 Key Takeaways:

*The Nasdaq and S&P 500 extended their rallies to new all-time highs, supported by optimism over a U.S.-Vietnam trade agreement.

*Markets are bracing for the upcoming U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report, which could inject fresh volatility into equity markets.

Market Summary:

Wall Street regained footing from earlier weakness, with both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 extending their bullish rallies to fresh all-time highs. The tech-heavy Nasdaq led gains, climbing nearly 200 points, or 0.94%, to close at 20,393 in the last session. Market sentiment was buoyed by news of a U.S.-Vietnam trade agreement, under which a 20% tariff will be imposed on Vietnamese imports while Vietnam agreed to lift all retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods.

Despite the positive developments, equity markets are trading with a cautious tone as several uncertainties continue to cloud the outlook. Investors remain wary ahead of the expiration of the current tariff pause on key U.S. trading partners, including the UK and China, which could revive trade tensions. Additionally, focus remains on the progress of the so-called “Big and Beautiful” tax bill, now under review in the House of Representatives, which could exacerbate fiscal vulnerabilities and weigh on risk appetite.

Global equity sentiment remains fragile as markets brace for the upcoming U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which could inject fresh volatility. In the near term, Wall Street may trade sideways as investors weigh geopolitical risks, fiscal concerns, and key economic data.

Technical Analysis 

Nasdaq, H4

The tech-heavy Nasdaq extended its bullish rally in the last session, gaining nearly 1% to close at a fresh all-time high. The index’s strong upward momentum has pushed it into uncharted territory, with the next key psychological resistance level seen near the 23,000 mark, provided fundamental drivers remain supportive.

Momentum indicators signal that the bullish bias remains intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has rebounded, holding above the 50 level, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing signs of forming a golden cross above the zero line—both suggesting continued upside potential for the index.

If market sentiment stays positive, the Nasdaq could maintain its trajectory toward new highs, though traders are advised to remain vigilant for any shifts in macroeconomic conditions or earnings sentiment that could trigger a pullback.

Resistance levels: 22, 945.00, 23,370.00
Support levels: 22,265.00, 21,940.00